397
Paul Samuelson, The Collected Papers of Paul Samuelson (Boston: MIT Press, 1986), p. 53; он перефразировал Макса Планка, говорившего: «Старые теории не опровергаются — просто вымирают их поборники». См. Michael Szenberg and Lall Rainrattan, eds., New Frontiers in Economics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2004), pp. 3–4.
398
Susan L. Coyle, «Physician-industry relations. Part 1: Individual physicians», Annals of Internal Medicine 135, no. 5 (2002), pp. 396–402.
399
Susan L. Coyle, «Physician-industry relations. Part 1: Individual physicians», Annals of Internal Medicine 135, no. 5 (2002), pp. 396–402; Karl Hackenbrack and Mark W. Wilson, «Auditors’ incentives and their application of financial accounting standards», The Accounting Review, no. 1 (January 1996), pp. 43–59; Robert A. Olsen, «Desirability bias among professional investment managers: Some evidence from experts», Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 10 (1997), pp. 65–72; Vaughan Bell et al., «Beliefs about delusions», The Psychobgist 16, no. 8 (August 2003), pp. 418–423.
400
Drew Westen et al., «Neural bases of motivated reasoning: An fMRI study of emotional constraints on partisan political judgment in the 2004 U.S. presidential election», Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience 18, no. 11 (2006), pp.1947–1958.
401
Drew Westen et al., «Neural bases of motivated reasoning: An fMRI study of emotional constraints on partisan political judgment in the 2004 U.S. presidential election», pp. 1947–1958.
402
Peter H. Ditto and David K. Lopes, «Motivated skepticism: Use of differential decision criteria for preferred and nonpreferred conclusions», Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 63, no. 4, pp. 568–584.
403
Naomi Oreskes, «The scientific consensus on climate change», Science 306 (December 3, 2004), p. 1686; Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway, Merchants of Doubt (New York: Bloomsbury, 2010), pp. 169–170.
404
Charles G. Lord et al., «Biased assimilation and attitude polarization: The effects of prior theories on subsequently considered evidence», Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 37, no. 11 (1979), pp. 2098–2109.
405
…
406
Daniel L. Wann and Thomas J. Dolan, «Attributions of highly identified sports spectators», The Journal of Social Psychology 134, no. 6 (1994), pp. 783–793; Daniel L. Wann and Thomas J. Dolan, «Controllability and stability in the self-serving attributions of sports spectator», The Journal of Social Psychology 140, no. 2 (1998), pp. 160–168.
407
…
408
Ian R. Newby-Clark et al., «People focus on optimistic scenarios and disregard pessimistic scenarios while predicting task completion times», Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 6, no. 3 (2000), pp. 171–182.
409
David Dunning, «Strangers to ourselves?», Psychologist 19, no. 10 (October 2006), pp. 600–604; см. также David Dunning et al., «Flawed self-assessment».
410
R. Buehler et al., «Inside the planning fallacy: The causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions», in: T. Gilovitch et al., eds., Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002), pp. 251–270.
411
Eric Luis Uhlmann and Geoffrey L. Cohen, «Constructed criteria», Psychological Science 16, no. 6 (2005), pp. 474–480.
412
Обо всех экспериментах этого исследования См. Linda Babcock and George Loewenstein, «Explaining bargaining impasse: The role of self-serving biases», Journal of Economic Perspectives 11, no. 1 (Winter 1997), pp. 109–126. Linda Babcock et al., «Biased judgments of fairness in bargaining», American Economic Review 85, no. 5 (1995). pp. 1337–1343; также См. другие работы, на которые ссылаются авторы.
413
Shelley E. Taylor and Jonathan D. Brown, «Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health», Psychological Bulletin 103, no. 2 (1988), pp. 193–210.
414
David Dunning et al., «Self-serving prototypes of social categories», Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 61, no. 6 (1991), pp. 957–968.
415
Harry P. Bahrick et al., «Accuracy and distortion ion memory for high school grades», Psychological Science 7, no. 5, (September 1996), pp. 265–271.
416
Национальная баскетбольная ассоциация — американская общенациональная ассоциация профессиональных баскетбольных команд, основана в 1946 г. — Прим. перев.
417
Речь Стива Джобса на церемонии вручения дипломов в Стэнфордском университете, 2005.
418
Stanley Meisler, «The surreal world of Salvador Dali», Smithsonian Magazine (April, 2005).
419
Shelley E. Taylor and Jonathan D. Brown, «Illusion and well-being»; Alice M. Isen et at., «Positive affect facilitates creative problem solving», Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 52, no.6 (1987) 1122–1131; Peter J.D. Carnevale and Alice M. Isen, «The influence of positive affect and visual access on the discovery of integrative solutions in bilateral negotiations», Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 37 (1986), pp. 1-13.
420
Shelley E. Taylor and Jonathan D. Brown, «Illusion and well-being»; David Dunning, «Strangers to ourselves?».
421
Там же.
422
Джозеф Полчински (p. 1954) — американский физик, специалист по теории струн.