Рейтинговые книги
Читем онлайн Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб

Шрифт:

-
+

Интервал:

-
+

Закладка:

Сделать
1 ... 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 ... 123

Texts'Extinction."Science 307(5713):1305-1307. Clark,Barrett,andPascalBoyer,2006,"Causal Inferences: Evolutionary • Domains and Neural Systems, ciInterdisciplinesConferenceon

Causality,seewww.interdiscplines.org. Clark,Michael,2002,Paradoxes from A to Z.London:Routledge. Clemen,R.Т.,1986,"CalibrationandtheAggregationofProbabilities."

Management Science 32:312-314.

,1989,"CombiningForecasts:AReviewandAnnotated

Bibliography."International Journal of Forecasting 5:559-609. Cohen,L.J.,1989,The Philosophy of Induction and Probability. Oxford:

ClarendonPress.„

Cohen,R.,K.Erez,D.ben-Avraham,andS.Havlin,2000,"Resilience

oftheInternettoRandomBreakdowns."Physical Review Letters 85:

4626-4628.

Cole,J.R.,andS.Cole,1973,Social Stratification in Science. Chicago:

TheUniversityofChicagoPress. Cole,J.R.,andB.Singer,1991,"ATheoryofLimitedDifferences:

ExplainingtheProductivityPuzzleinScience."InJ.С.H.Zuckerman

andJ.Bauer,eds.,The Outer Circle: Women in the Scientific Community.

NewYork:W.W.NortonandCompany. Cole,Peter,2002,Access to Philosophy: The Theory of Knowledge. London:

HodderandStoughton. Cole,S.,1970,"ProfessionalStandingandtheReceptionofScientific

Discoveries."American Journal of Sociology 76:286-306. Cole,S.,J.C.Cole,andG.A.Simon,1981,"Chanceand'Consensusin 1PeerReview."Science 214:881-886.

Collins,Randall,1998,The Sociology of Philosophies: A Global Theory of Intellectual Change. Cambridge,Mass.:TheBelknapPressofHarvard UniversityPress.

Conley,D.,1999,Being Black, Living in the Red: Race, Wealth and Social

Policy in America. LosAngeles:UniversityofCaliforniaPress. Cooper,JohnM.,2004,Knowledge, Nature, and the Good, Chapter1:"Method

andScienceinAncientMedicine."Princeton,N.J.:PrincetonUniversityPress. Cootner,PaulH.,1964,The Random Character of Stock Market Prices.

London:RiskBooks. Cosmides,L.,andJ.Tooby,1990,"IstheMindaFrequentist?"Paper

presentedatthe31stannualmeetingofthePsychonomicsSociety,

NewOrleans,La.

,1992,"CognitiveAdaptationsforSocialExchange."InJerome

H.Barkow,LedaCosmides,andJohnTooby,eds.,The Adapted Mind.

Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress.

,1996,"AreHumansGoodIntuitiveStatisticiansAfterAll?

RethinkingSomeConclusionsfromtheLiteratureonJudgmentand

Uncertainty."Cognition 58(1):187-276. Courtillot,V.,1995,La vie en catastrophes. Paris:Fayard. Courtillot,V.,andY.Gaudemer,1996,"EffectsofMass-Extinctionson

Biodiversity."Nature 381:146-147. Cousin,Victor,1820,Cours d'histoire de la philosophic morale au dix-

huitieme siecle. Paris:Ladrange. Cover,Т.M.,andJ.A.Thomas,1991,Elements of Information Theory.

NewYork:Wiley.

Cowley, Michelle, and Ruth M. J. Byrne, 2004,"Chess Master's Hypothesis Testing." In Kenneth Forbus, Dedre Gentner, and Terry Regier, eds., Proceedings of 26thAnnual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, CogSci 2004,Mahwah, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum.

Crosby, Alfred W., 1997,The Measure of Reality: Quantification and Western Society, 1250-1600.Cambridge: Cambridge University

Press.

Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly, 1993,Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience. New York: Perennial Press.

,1998,Finding Flow: The Psychology of Engagement with Everyday

Life. New York: Basic Books.

Cutler, David, James Poterba, and Lawrence Summers, 1989,"What Moves Stock Prices?" Journal of Portfolio Management 15:4-12.

DallyJ. M., N. J. Emery, and N. S. Clayton, 2006,"Food-Catching

Western Scrub-Jays Keep Track of Who Was Watching When." Science

312(5780):1662-1665. Damasio, Antonio, 1994,Descartes' Error: Emotion, Reason, and the

Human Brain. New York: Avon Books.

,2000,The Feeling of What Happens: Body and Emotion in the

Making of Consciousness. New York: Harvest Books.

,2003,Looking for Spinoza: Joy, Sorrow and the Feeling Brain.

New York: Harcourt. 4 x/v Dannefer, D., 1987,"Aging as Intracohort Differentiation: Accentuation,

the Matthew Effect and the Life Course." Sociological Forum 2:211-

236.

,2003,"Cumulative Advantage/Disadvantage and the Life Course:

Cross-fertilizing Age and Social Science." Journal of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences 58:327-337.

Darwin, Charles, 1859,On Natural Selection. London: Penguin Books, Great Ideas.

Daston, L. J., 1988,Classical Probability in the Enlightenment Princeton,

N. J.: Princeton University Press. David, Florence Nightingale, 1962,Games, Gods, and Gambling: A History

of Probability and Statistical Ideas. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Dawes, Robyn M., 1980,"Confidence in Intellectual Judgments vs.

Confidence in Perceptual Judgments." In E. D. Lantermann and

Н.Feger,eds.,Similarity and Choice: Papers in Honor of Clyde Coombs.

Bern,Switzerland:Huber.

,1988,Rational Choice in an Uncertain World. NewYork:Har-

court.

,1989,"MeasurementModelsforRatingandComparingRisks:

TheContextofAIDS."Conference Proceedings Health Services Research

- Methodology: A Focus on AIDS, September1989.

,1999,"AMessagefromPsychologiststoEconomists:Mere

PredictabilityDoesn'tMatterLikeItShould,WithoutaGoodStory

AppendedtoIt."Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 39:

29-40.

,2001a,"ClinicalVersusActuarialJudgment."International

Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences 2048-2051.

,2001b,Everyday Irrationality: How Pseudo-Scientists, Lunatics,

and the Rest of Us Systematically Fail to Think Rationally. Oxford: WestviewPress.

,2002,"TheEthicsofUsingorNotUsingStatisticalPrediction

RulesinPsychologicalPracticeandRelatedConsultingActivities."

Philosophy of Science 69:178-184. Dawes,RobynM.,D.Faust,andP.E.Meehl,1989,"ClinicalVersus

ActuarialJudgment."Science 243:1668-1674. Dawes,RobynM.,R.Fildes,M.Lawrence,andK.Ord,1994,"ThePast

andtheFutureofForecastingResearch."International Journal of

Forecasting 10:151-159. Dawes,RobynM.,andT.L.Smith,1985,"AttitudeandOpinion

Measurement."InG.LindzeyandE.Aronson,The Handbook of Social

Psychology, Vol.1.Hillsdale,N.J.:LawrenceErlbaum. DeBellaigue,Eric,de,2004,British Book Publishing as a Business Since

the 1960s.London:TheBritishLibrary. DeBondt,Werner,andAndreasKappler,2004,"Luck,Skill,andBias

inEconomists'Forecasts."WorkingPaper,DriehausCenterfor

BehavioralFinance,DePaulUniversity. DeBondt,WernerF.M.,andRichardM.Thaler,1990,"DoSecurity

AnalystsOverreact?"American Economic Review 80:52-57. Debreu,Gerard,1959,Theorie de la valeur, Dunod,tr.Theory of Value.

NewYork:Wiley.

DeFinetti,Bruno,1931,1989,"Probabilism."Erkenntnis 31:169-223.

,1975,1995,Filosophia della probabilita. Milan:IISaggiatore.

Degeorge,Francois,JayenduPatel,andRichardZeckhauser,1999,

"EarningsManagementtoExceedThresholds."Journal of Business

72(1):1-33.

DeLong,Bradford,AndreiShleifer,LawrenceSummers,andRobert J.Waldmann,1991."TheSurvivalofNoiseTradersinFinancial Markets."Journal of Business 64(1):1-20.

Dennett,DanielC,1995,Darwin's Dangerous Idea: Evolution and the Meanings of Life. NewYork:Simon&Schuster.

,2003,Freedom Evolves. NewYork:PenguinBooks.

Derman,E.,andN.N.Taleb,2005,"TheIllusionsofDynamicReplication."Quantitative Finance 5:323-326.

DeVany,Arthur,2002,Hollywood Economics: Chaos in the Movie Industry. London:Routledge.

DeVany,Arthur,NassimNicholasTaleb,andMarkSpitznagel,2004, "CanWeShieldArtistsfromWildUncertainty?"presentedattheFort LauderdaleFilmFestivalScholar'sWorkshop,June2004.

DiPrete,ThomasA.,andGregEirich,2006,"CumulativeAdvantageas aMechanismforInequality:AReviewofTheoreticalandEmpirical Developments."Annual Review of Sociology 32:271-297.

Dominitz,Jeff,andDavidGrether,1999,"IKnowWhatYouDidLast Quarter:EconomicForecastsofProfessionalForecasters."Working Paper,Caltech.

Donhardt,GaryL.,2004,"InSearchoftheEffectsofAcademic

AchievementinPostgraduationEarnings."Research in Higher

Education 45(3):271-284. Dugatkin,LeeAlan,2001,The Imitation Factor: Evolution Beyond the

Gene. NewYork:Simon8cSchuster. Dunbar,Nicholas,1999,Inventing Money: The Story of Long-Term Capital

Management and the Legends Behind It. Chichester,England:John

Wiley&Sons,Ltd. Dunning,D.,D.W.Griffin,J.Milojkovic,andL.Ross,1990,"The

OverconfidenceEffectinSocialPrediction."Journal of Personality

and Social Psychology 58:568-581. Dye,Guillaume,2004,AreviewofLorenzoPerilli'sMenodoto di

Nicomedia, MunichandLeipzig:K.G.Saur,inBryn Mawr Classical

Review, December20.

Easterwood,JohnС,andStaceyR.Nutt,1999,"Inefficiencyin

Analysts'EarningsForecasts:SystematicMisreactionorSystematic

Optimism?"Journal of Finance 54:1777-1797. Eatwell,J.,M.Milgate,andP.Newman,eds.,1987,The New Palgrave:

A Dictionary of Economics. London:Macmillan. Eco,Umberto,1992,How to Travel with a Salmon and Other Essays. San

Diego:Harcourt.

,1994,Six Walks in the Fictional Woods. Cambridge,Mass.:

HarvardUniversityPress.

,2000,Kant and the Platypus: Essays on Language and Cognition.

NewYork:HarvestBooks.

,2002,On Literature. Orlando:HarcourtBooks.

,2003,Mouse or Rat? Translation as Negotiation. London:Orion

Books.

Einhorn,H.J.,andR.M.Hogarth,1981,"BehavioralDecisionTheory:

ProcessesofJudgmentandChoice."Annual Review of Psychology 32:53-88. Ekeland,Ivar,1990,Mathematics of the Unexpected. Chicago:The

UniversityofChicagoPress. Eldredge,Niles,andStephenJayGould,1972,"PunctuatedEquilibria:

AnAlternativetoPhyleticGradualism."Models in Paleobiology, ed.,

T.J.M.Schopf.NewYork:Freeman. El-Galfy,A.M.,andW.P.Forbes,2005,"AnEvaluationofU.S.Security

AnalystsForecasts,1983-1999."WorkingPaper. Elman,C,andA.M.O'Rand,2004,"TheRaceIstotheSwift:

SocioeconomicOrigins,AdultEducation,andWageAttainment."

American Journal of Sociology no:123-160. Empiricus,Sextus,igg7,Esquissespyrrhoniennes. Paris:EditionsduSeuil.

,2002,Contre les professeurs. Paris:EditionsduSeuil.

Epstein,Jason,2001,Book Business. London:W.W.Norton.

Erev,I.,T.S.Wallsten,andD.V.Budescu,1994,"SimultaneousOver-

andUnderconfidence:TheRoleofErrorinJudgmentProcesses."

Psychological Review 101:519-528. Estoup,J.В.,1916,Gammes Stenographique. Paris:InstitutSteno-

graphiquedeFrance. Evans,Dylan,2002,Emotions: The Science of Sentiment. Oxford:Oxford

UniversityPress.

Eysenck,M.W.,andM.T.Keane,2000,Cognitive Psychology, 4thed.

London:PsychologyPress.

Fagot-Largeault, Anne, 2002,Philosophie des sciences biologiques et

medicaies. Paris: College de France.

Faia, M., 1975,"Productivity Among Scientists: A Replication and

1 ... 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 ... 123
На этой странице вы можете бесплатно читать книгу Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб бесплатно.
Похожие на Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб книги

Оставить комментарий